Thursday, December 3, 2009

U.S. President Barack Obama has not only ordered a troop surge in Afghanistan, but also spelled out an exit strategy.
This has created a situation in Pakistan, which is both dangerous and promising, depending on which side of the national division to stop.
Since the restoration of democracy in 2008, the power structure of Pakistan has developed into two discernible.
A bloc is led by the powerful security establishment in the country, which still wields considerable power and has influential allies in the media and political circles.
The other was led by the political government, which has problems of governance and credibility, and has a weak grip on power, but has large pockets of support in different parts of the country, especially in the south.
The two blocks have publicly expressed contradictory views on how Pakistan should treat his two most important neighbors, India and Afghanistan.
And this fundamental disagreement is likely to form long-term response from Pakistan to the United States late in Afghanistan imminent.
Failure "of the West
For now, however, the government of Pakistan has welcomed the U.S. decision an increase in the number of troops in Afghanistan, but expressed concern over large deployments in the south, which fears that it will pursue the war on their territory.
The bottom line is that while the Pakistani army has successfully dealt with the militants in parts of north-west Western and Afghan troops have failed to do the same in Afghanistan.
President Obama gives Obama announced speechPresident West Point U.S. 30,000 troops be deployed
Commentators Security building near voice fears that Americans now force the Pakistani army to fight its also part of the battle, and also on Pakistani soil.
This will complicate the situation in southwest Pakistan - the battlefield likely in that scenario - if the country is already facing an armed insurgency by separatist groups, they say.
Many in the political class also publicly expressed fears of an intensified campaign of strikes buzz in the areas of Pakistan can fan the flames of anti-Americanism and strengthen the extremists.
But in private conversations to express the hope that U.S. pressure Pakistan rose to squeeze the space for militant groups weaken the resolve of the army to continue to support and protect them.
Pakistani and Western analysts have argued that Islamic militant groups were created and managed by the military intelligence community of Pakistan as strategic tools to destabilize India and Afghanistan, two neighbors that the army considers hostile.
Pakistan's top politicians privately agree that these groups were also used to subvert the political process in the country.
The announcement of U.S. an increase of troops in Afghanistan, along with an exit strategy to be operational just 18 months from now, the Pakistani media that will be under great pressure to dismantle these groups without further delay.
For many, this is an impossible task.
Some analysts believed to be close to the security services admit that the Pakistani intelligence services nurtured by these groups as an instrument of foreign policy, but say they are no longer controlled by the army and gained its own life.
They believe that an extension of the war will create conditions that are beyond the control of Pakistani security forces and may irreparably damage the country.
Targets inside Pakistan
But administration officials seem to think Obama apparently the militants can be defeated, and that the key lies in Pakistan.
And there are signs that Americans are willing to do anything to convince the Pakistanis to do what is necessary.
A credible source in Islamabad told the BBC that when the Pakistanis were found to be dragging their feet on the issue of militant groups, Americans may consider strikes ringing in some important strategic objectives within Pakistan to accelerate the process.
The source said a message to that effect had already been conveyed to the Pakistani leadership.
Americans have not offered a quid pro quo for this, but there are indications that they may be working on other fronts to improve the sense of the Pakistanis "security.
Analysts interpreted the decision by India to reduce troops in the part of Kashmir it controls - a region disputed by India and Pakistan - and deliver security operations to local police, as a result of the back of the diplomacy of the participation of some Western powers channels.
India's announcement came a day after President Barack Obama announced his policy in Afghanistan.
Signs Therefore, there is evidence of a carrot and the stick.
As things stand now, Pakistan has much to gain from Obama's strategy - but instead will make big demands, particularly the military.

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